Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Magic Number: 1

The Orange County Flyers have worked their "Magic Number" down to one. Because Tucson and Yuma (and Tijuana) are mathematically eliminated from winning the second half of the GBL South Division, the only two teams that can win the second half are Maui and Orange County. Tucson and Yuma would need Maui to win the second half, creating a playoff berth for the team with the second-best overall record in the division if either Arionza-based team wants to make the playoffs.

The Flyers are one win away from securing at least the second-best record in the GBL South Division for the 2010 season. Because it's a two-team race in the GBL South Division for the 2nd Half, and one of those teams already won the first half, then OC only needs to secure the second-best overall record to lock up a playoff berth.

Why are Yuma & Tucson eliminated from the 2nd Half Division title:
- Yuma is currently 15 games back of first place Maui with only 9 games left to play. They are out of time to catch up.

- As for Tucson, the Toros are 7 games out of first with 9 to play, and both teams ahead of them - OC and Maui - have 11 and 12 games left, respectively. Because OC/Maui play each other 7 times the rest of the season, one of them will pick up enough wins to pull far enough away from Tucson so that the Toros cannot win the second half.
Orange County is currently 45-30 overall, 9.5 games ahead of Tucson (38-42) with 11 OC games remaining, 9 Tucson games remainig. If the Flyers win only one game the rest of the season, they would finish 46-40, a winning percentage of .535. Even if Tucson won all remaining 9 games, they could only finish 47-42, a winning percentage of .528, which would mean the Flyers make the playoffs on a higher winning percentage.

Here's a look at the overall GBL South Division Standings as of this morning (August 25):
GBL South Division

Wins

Loses

Winning %

Games Back

Na Koa Ikaika Maui

47

23

.671

-

Orange County Flyers

45

30

.600

4.5

Tucson Toros

38

42

.475

14

Yuma Scorpions

37

43

.463

15

Tijuana Cimarrones

9

64

.123

39.5


With no games for South Division teams today, Wednesday, the Flyers have a chance to clinch a playoff berth on their own terms, beating the Tijuana Cimarrones at home at Goodwin Field on Thursday, setting up a face off against the Strong Warriors of Maui for GBL South Supremacy!

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