Sunday, August 22, 2010

Playoff Picture

With four more Flyers wins, Orange County will clinch at least the second-best overall record in the GBL South Division for the 2010 season over both Yuma and Tucson. Yuma is mathematically eliminated from the second half.

If the first-half champion Maui Strong Warriors win the second half as well, the team with the second-best overall record will face them in the playoffs.

Tucson is currently 11.5 games behind Orange County in the overall standings and would be eliminated from having the second-best overall record with two more Flyers win or Toros losses (Tucson would finish at best 48-42, .533 winning percentage, while the Flyers would finish 46-40, a .535 winning percentage). Tucson (15-17 second half) has 12 games remaining on its schedule – and one potential rain-delay against Tijuana it could make up from Saturday – and is mathematically eliminated from the second half South Division title because even if the Toros win out to finish 28-17 [.622] in the second half, they could not overtake both Maui and Orange County because the two teams play each other 10 times.

Of those 10 games, if OC wins at least 5 of them, the Flyers will finish at least 27-14 [.659] in the second half and have a better winning percentage because of fewer games played due to the cancelled 4-game series in St. George, and Maui can eliminate Tucson from the second half with six more wins this season which would secure for them at least a 25-14 [.641] second half record, resulting in a stronger winning percentage than Tucson.

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